Step 2: Estimation

Image: Unsplash. “Photo by Mediamodifier on Unsplash.” Unsplash.com, 2 July 2021, unsplash.com/photos/black-calculator-beside-black-pen-on-white-printer-paper-I3HPUolh5hA. Accessed 22 Nov. 2023.

Calculate Your Estimated Costs

Solar Energy

Solar Energy

Image: Unsplash. “Photo by Andreas Gücklhorn on Unsplash.” Unsplash.com, 14 June 2017, unsplash.com/photos/photo-of-three-solar-panels-7razCd-RUGs. Accessed 21 Nov. 2023.

Learn more about Solar Energy here before calculating your costs!

How do I pick a Solar Company?

When picking a solar company that best fits a project’s needs, it’s important to make sure all the information is in hand. Reviewing websites, speaking with representatives, and knowing what questions to ask can ensure that information. It can be useful to ask about future maintenance support or schedules, any applicable warranties, cost breakdowns for the project, and the contractor’s experience installing systems in the area or of that type. Additionally, asking for further information about the specific system being installed can be beneficial. This can help in gathering information about expected system lifespans, troubleshooting for common issues, and routine maintenance needs or considerations.

Asking a wide range of questions and becoming well-informed on what a company offers can ease the energy transition and increase efficiency. It can also reduce any unwanted surprises, such as miscommunications about project goals, unexpected installation expenses, or lack of information from installers.

How do I know what type of Solar Panel to get?

There are various types of solar panels available on the market; however, many are still in various stages of development, or they can only be used in specific conditions. For the purpose of this article, the most common and accessible types are discussed, which are two specific types of silicon solar cells. Alternative cell types– such as thin-film, bifacial, or organic cells–were considered, but discarded as a focus due to the fact that solar companies in Puerto Rico usually do not offer them. These cells would be difficult to obtain in the mountainous communities, which is our primary focus. Silicon solar cells, which are mostly discussed here, primarily come in monocrystalline and polycrystalline forms. 

Monocrystalline silicon solar panels are cut from a single crystal of silicon and have black cells1. They have high performance– able to reach efficiencies of over 20%–and have a higher capacity than polycrystalline cells2. However, they can be more expensive to purchase and install than polycrystalline panels, with costs ranging roughly from $1-$1.50 per watt3. Manufacturing monocrystalline panels creates waste from leftover silicon, which can then be used to produce polycrystalline panels.

Polycrystalline silicon solar panels are composed of many silicon crystal fragments and have blue cells1. They have slightly lower performance than monocrystalline panels, averaging around 15-17% efficiency2. These panels are often lower-cost, ranging roughly from $0.75-$1 per watt3. Most solar companies tend to offer polycrystalline panels for residential buyers, so they can be more accessible.

When determining what kind of solar system is ideal for a project, it’s important to clarify the difference between the two types of panels and understand the benefits and drawbacks of each. Polycrystalline panels may be more common and less expensive for traditional projects, but monocrystalline panels may be more cost-effective and realistic in situations where there is a need for higher electricity output, such as having limited roof space. Knowing about each panel type and consulting with a chosen company can assist in determining what kind of system is right for the given situation.

Note: This calculator was based on data in 2023 and may not be as accurate in the future.

Wind Energy

Wind Energy

Image: Unsplash. “Photo by American Public Power Association on Unsplash.” Unsplash.com, 23 Oct. 2017, unsplash.com/photos/windmills-on-green-field-under-white-sky-during-daytime-eIBTh5DXW9w. Accessed 21 Nov. 2023.

Learn more about Wind Energy here before calculating your costs!

What does this calculator tell me?*

This calculator gives a rough estimate of how much it would cost to buy small wind turbines to generate electricity. The calculator can make estimates for two types of wind turbines: one which supplies 3 kilowatts of electricity in power (the SD3 turbine) and one which supplies 6 kilowatts of electricity (the SD6 turbines). These two types of turbines are supplied by the Puerto Rico-based Golden Solar Technologies, who are the only wind turbine installers on the island (as of 28 November, 2023)10. Please note that this calculator may not accurately predict the cost of installment because pricing is very location dependent. Contact a wind turbine installer for more information. All estimates for power production are based on information from the SD Wind Energy website11. Estimates are most accurate between approximately 8 and 16 mph yearly wind speed as this is the range of information provided by SD Energy. The turbines offered by Golden Solar are integrated with a generator and available as either grid tied or battery charge. They are also rated to survive up to a category five hurricane11.

*Please note that all figures are estimates. Cost estimates are intended as a starting point for considering how much wind energy could cost. Variable wind speeds, installation costs, different energy consumption levels, and variability in energy production could make this calculation inaccurate for your needs.

How do I use this calculator?


1.) Determine the approximate average yearly wind speed in miles per hour of your municipality. 

  1. Go to weatherspark.com12
  2. Enter your municipality
  3. Scroll down to find a yearly wind speed curve for your municipality, and estimate your average annual wind speed from that graph. Rough estimates in whole numbers are fine – an easy way to do this is taking the average of the highest and lowest average wind speed displayed.

2.) Determine your approximate yearly energy usage in kilowatt hours (kWh)

Add up monthly energy usage (kWh) values from your energy bills, or take a high usage month and multiply by 12 to get a maximum energy usage estimate.

3.) Enter data into the calculator

Note: This calculator was based on data in 2023 and may not be as accurate in the future.

Hydroelectric Energy

Hydroelectric Energy

Image: Unsplash. “Photo by Dan Meyers on Unsplash.” Unsplash.com, 11 June 2019, unsplash.com/photos/aerial-photography-of-body-of-water-w6X7XaolqA0. Accessed 21 Nov. 2023.

Learn more about Hydroelectric Energy here before calculating your costs!

How do I pick a turbine?

To properly estimate what hydroelectric system would best suit your needs, you will need an estimate of your water source’s DEPTH, WIDTH, and SPEED, as well as your required KILOWATT-HOUR usage. Luckily, you can measure the depth, width, and speed of your stream or river without a professional contractor and with relative ease. Make sure to measure depth and width in feet, and speed in feet per second.


1.) Measure Your Water Source’s Depth and Width

To find the average water depth of a stream:

  1. Take a board long enough to lie across the entire width of the stream. 
  2. Measure the length of the board to estimate the WIDTH.
  3. Mark the board at one-foot intervals and measure stream depth at these points.
  4. Sum all the depth measurements and divide by the total number of measurements taken to find the average DEPTH

2.) Estimate Water Source Speed

To estimate the speed of a stream:

  1. Mark off a ten foot long section of a stream by placing a marker at the beginning and the end of the section. 
  2. Place a floatable object a large distance upstream of the section. Once the object reaches the beginning marker, start a timer and end it once the object  reaches the end marker.
  3. Do this multiple times in different sections of the stream
  4. Find the average time by summing all these times and dividing by the total number of measurements taken.
  5. Divide ten by this average time to get the average speed of the stream in feet per second.

3.) Find Your Monthly Kilowatt-Hour Usage

A kilowatt-hour is a metric of energy, or power consumed over a certain amount of time. You can find your kilowatt-hour consumption for a given month (kWh/month) on your electricity bill. It is recommended that you use an energy amount from a high-consumption month in order to ensure the calculator is accounting for your highest energy needs. 

Batteries

Batteries

Image: Unsplash. “Photo by Mediamodifier on Unsplash.” Unsplash.com, 2 July 2021, unsplash.com/photos/black-calculator-beside-black-pen-on-white-printer-paper-I3HPUolh5hA. Accessed 22 Nov. 2023.

Our Opinion

There are many different types of batteries that can be used for energy storage in a renewable energy system. We looked into these different types of batteries, and after ruling out other options we believe the best option for energy storage is lithium-ion batteries. We ruled out pumped hydro energy storage systems and compressed air energy storage systems because there are site requirements that need to be met to use them14. Flywheels and lead-acid batteries are slightly more on the expensive end14. Considering some other factors, sodium-sulfur batteries have relatively short lifespans in comparison to other batteries, and flow batteries have a relatively low power rating in comparison to other batteries14.

Although they are more expensive, lithium-ion batteries have many pros that we believe outweigh the higher cost. They have a longer lifespan than other batteries and can go through more charge-discharge cycles15. This means that lithium-ion batteries may be cheaper per charge-discharge cycle than other alternatives, although they are more expensive at face value. Lithium-ion batteries also do not require as much maintenance as other batteries15. Lithium-ion batteries are also highly efficient, and they are more energy dense (energy/weight) than other alternatives15.

How does the calculator work?

We wanted to make a calculator that can convert the estimated storage capacity required (of a battery) into a price estimation. Storage capacity is measured in kWh (kilowatt hour), with one kWh being an hour’s worth of 1000 watts. This led us to come up with the following formula.

The formula is split into two components: price of battery and shipping.

The battery price is determined by multiplying the average cost per kWh (found below) by the kWh needed. The shipping is determined by multiplying the average cost of shipping per kg of battery weight by the estimated weight per kWh needed (found below) and the kWh needed and then adding that number to the estimated baseline shipping cost (found below). The average price per kWh and average kg/kWh were found by calculating these values for 10 batteries found online and then finding their averages. This information can be found below in Table 1.

To estimate the average price of shipping we used two online shipping price calculators to find an equation that gives us the shipping baseline cost and the added price of shipping per kg. This gives us the last two pieces of information needed for the calculator.

Table 1: Estimating average cost per kWh and average kg per kWh of various batteries found online to use in the calculation of estimated battery cost for needed kWh storage.

Using this information and a calculator, we found that the cost of shipping is roughly a baseline cost of $48.75 plus an extra $11.20 per kg. Plugging in all the numbers we found into the formula we are using to find the estimated cost, the only input needed for the calculation is kWh needed. 

Table 2: Calculating average shipping cost using values from online shipping calculators.

Note: This calculator was made to give a rough estimate of how much the batteries you would need would cost. Also, this estimation will get less accurate over time due to inflation and changes in market price etc. Shipping also involves size but we were unable to account for this factor. The shipping part of our calculator does not account for distance/location because we observed that this affected the price of shipping a negligible amount. This calculator was also based on data in 2023 and may not be as accurate in the future.

References
  1. “Types of Solar Panels: What You Need to Know.” EnergySage, 26 Apr. 2023, www.energysage.com/solar/types-of-solar-panels/#what-are-solar-panels-made-out-of.
  2. “Types of Solar Panels: What You Need to Know.” EnergySage, 26 Apr. 2023, www.energysage.com/solar/types-of-solar-panels/#how-efficient-are-different-types-of-solar-panels.
  3. Wallender, Lee. “Monocrystalline vs Polycrystalline Solar Panels: What’s the Difference?” Forbes Home, 31 Aug. 2023, www.forbes.com/home-improvement/solar/monocrystalline-vs-polycrystalline-solar-panels/#:~:text=their%20manufacturing%20process.-.
  4. “NSRDB.” Nsrdb.nrel.gov, nsrdb.nrel.gov/data-viewer.
  5. “Solar Panel Size and Weight: How Big Are Solar Panels?” EnergySage, 17 Oct. 2023, www.energysage.com/solar/average-solar-panel-size-weight/.
  6. “Solar Panels Size & Weight (Including Commercial Dimensions).” Www.velosolar.com, 22 Sept. 2022, www.velosolar.com/solar-panel-size/.
  7. Allen, Nafeesah. “Solar Panel Size and Weight: A Comprehensive Guide.” Forbes Home, 15 May 2023, www.forbes.com/home-improvement/solar/solar-panel-size-weight-guide/#average_area_of_a_single_solar_panel_section. Accessed 29 Nov. 2023.
  8. Solar Energy Technologies Office. “PV Cells 101: A Primer on the Solar Photovoltaic Cell.” Energy.gov, 3 Dec. 2019, www.energy.gov/eere/solar/articles/pv-cells-101-primer-solar-photovoltaic-cell.
  9. “Global Horizontal Irradiance – an Overview | ScienceDirect Topics.” Www.sciencedirect.com, www.sciencedirect.com/topics/engineering/global-horizontal-irradiance.
  10. “Wind Generators in Puerto Rico & Caribbean | Golden Solar.” Golden Solar Technologies, 24 Jan. 2012, goldensolartechnologies.com/aerogeneradores/english-wind-generators/. Accessed 17 Nov. 2023.
  11. “Small Wind Turbines.” SD Wind Energy, Nov. 2023, sd-windenergy.com/small-wind-turbines/. Accessed 17 Nov. 2023.
  12. Weather Spark. “The Typical Weather Anywhere on Earth – Weather Spark.” Weatherspark.com, 2020, weatherspark.com/. Accessed 17 Nov. 2023.
  13. “Canyon Hydro – Guide to Hydropower.” Www.canyonhydro.com, www.canyonhydro.com/guide/HydroGuide9.html#:~:text=Measure%20the%20average%20depth%20of%20the%20stream. Accessed 28 Nov. 2023.
  14. Poullikkas, Andreas. “A Comparative Overview of Large-Scale Battery Systems for Electricity Storage.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 27, Nov. 2013, pp. 778–788, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2013.07.017. Accessed 28 Nov. 2023.
  15. ‌“BU-107: Comparison Table of Secondary Batteries.” Battery University, 2 Sept. 2010, batteryuniversity.com/article/bu-107-comparison-table-of-secondary-batteries#google_vignette. Accessed 28 Nov. 2023.
  16. Calculate Time and Cost: UPS – United States, wwwapps.ups.com/ctc/request?loc=en_US. Accessed 28 Nov. 2023. 
  17. “International Shipping Made Easy.” Easyship, www.easyship.com/shipping-rate-calculator/usa-to-puertorico?weight=90&weight_unit=lbs&opc=02139&category_slug=accessory_no_battery&width=5&height=5&length=10&dimension_unit=in&range=%3C100. Accessed 28 Nov. 2023. 
  18. “Lithium Ion Solar Batteries.” ShopSolar.Com, shopsolarkits.com/collections/lithium-ion-solar-batteries. Accessed 28 Nov. 2023.
  19. “Lithium Ion Solar Battery: Lifepo4 Lithium Battery for Solar Panel and Storage.” Lithium Battery Store, www.lithiumbatterystore.com/solar/. Accessed 28 Nov. 2023. 
  20. “The Guide to Hydropower.” Canyon Hydro – Guide to Hydropower, Canyon Hydro, www.canyonhydro.com/guide/HydroGuide9.html#:~:text=Measure%20the%20average%20depth%20of%20the%20stream. Accessed 28 Nov. 2023.